Publications

17 de October de 2025 In Publications, International Cooperation, Digital Security, Security By Andre Guttierrez

Global Futures Bulletin: An Inflection Point in the AI Race

Artificial intelligence has reached a critical inflection point, raising fundamental questions about safety, alignment, regulation, and the very future of humanity. Propelled by technical advances toward “superintelligence” through tools such as transformer architectures, reinforcement learning, and model distillation, the current moment in AI may contain

16 de October de 2025 In Publications, International Cooperation, Climate By Andre Guttierrez

Global Futures Bulletin: BRICS and the Climate Agenda: Brazil’s BRICS and COP30 Dual Presidency and What Comes Next

The climate agenda has been gaining strength within BRICS since 2019. Initially marked by occasional mentions in political declarations, it gained new momentum with Brazil’s BRICS presidency in 2025 — the same year the country is also hosting COP30. In this context, cooperation has evolved

19 de September de 2025 In Publications, International Cooperation, Climate, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Global Futures Bulletin: Towards a Global Climate and Nature Council

At the close of the G20 Summit held in Rio de Janeiro in November 2024, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva proposed the creation of a new Climate Change Council. Rather than presenting a finalized proposal, the Brazilian government invited the international community to

18 de September de 2025 In Publications, Security, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Under the radar: territorial and regulatory security risks in the Brazilian and Colombian Amazon

Threats to physical security, land conflicts, environmental degradation, and weak state presence are among the most urgent challenges faced by organizations in Brazil and Colombia working on the frontlines of the Amazon. These risks are compounded by global demand for commodities — including timber, gold,

29 de July de 2025 In Publications, Security, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Strengthening Anti-Money Laundering Systems Against Environmental Crime: Comparative Legal and Policy Frameworks in Amazonian Countries

Environmental and natural resource-related crimes represent the third-largest illicit economy in the world in terms of the volume of money involved, ranking behind only drug trafficking and human trafficking. These are offenses that affect nature and threaten the planet’s sustainability, such as illegal logging, illicit

17 de July de 2025 In Publications, Climate, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Transforming the Economy in the Amazon

This publication presents an analysis of six community-led initiatives in the Amazon, organized around practical lessons that address the region’s challenges. Among the most pressing challenges are the advance of deforestation, the intensification of illicit activities, pressure on protected territories, biodiversity loss, barriers to accessing

2 de June de 2025 In Publications, Security By Storm Design

Global Futures Bulletin: Governance Gaps: Assessing Global Disparities in Al Policy Initiatives Around the World

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) is outpacing current global governance efforts aimed at ensuring its safety and alignment with ethical principles. While the United States, Europe, and China lead in the development of AI technologies and regulatory frameworks, most countries — particularly in

26 de February de 2025 In Publications, Security, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Who Defends the Defenders?

Environmental and human rights defenders play a critical role in combating ecosystem degradation and mitigating climate change. They serve as central members of their communities, organizing others to fight injustices and abuses. Environmental defenders are the first line of defense in places where the biome

17 de February de 2025 In Publications, Security By Andre Guttierrez

Impact of the Initiatives for the Social Reintegration of Formerly Incarcerated Individuals

An analysis of the impacts and results of social reintegration initiatives for formerly incarcerated individuals in Brazil and worldwide, focusing on recidivism and the guarantee of rights. This is the primary objective of this study, which mapped 32 evaluative publications related to 21 national and

30 de January de 2025 In Publications, Climate, Nature By Storm Design

Global Futures Bulletin: The scramble to secure critical minerals could exacerbate geopolitical, ecological, and planetary instability

The global energy transition is putting into motion a rapid shift from fossil fuel dependency to mineral extraction. This shift is fueling exponential growth in demand for critical minerals, the backbone of clean energy, and a vast range of advanced digital technologies. As a result,

10 de January de 2025 In Publications, Climate By Andre Guttierrez

Global Futures Bulletin: The BRICS and the Decarbonization and Biodiversity Protection Challenges

The world faces an unprecedented convergence of environmental crises – climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss – that collectively threaten the planet’s ecological balance and humanity’s future. Reversing the Triple Planetary Crisis necessitates urgent and coordinated action across all sectors and countries, accelerating the transition

12 de December de 2024 In Publications, Security, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Key Takeaways for Enhancing Safety Governance in the Amazon

The Amazon faces a variety of security challenges, ranging from historical issues such as high homicide rates, theft, illicit trade, and violence against women to new threats to the region's rich biodiversity, including deforestation, unauthorized logging, unregulated mining, and land grabbing. Considering the complexity of

3 de December de 2024 In Publications, Security By Storm Design

Implementing responsible and ethical use of crime prediction technologies

A manual for mitigating harm Since 2010, the world has seen a sharp uptake in the use of crime prediction technologies. Although these tools have the potential to improve public safety, they are often deployed without sufficient training and oversight, adherence to procedural safeguards, or compliance with

23 de October de 2024 In Publications, Security, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Addressing Illegal Gold Mining in the Amazon Region: From Recognition of the Problems and Challenges to Collective Action

The Igarapé Institute, along with various civil society organizations from Brazil, Colombia, the United States, and Peru, presented seven key recommendations to combat, mitigate, and prevent the damages caused by illegal gold mining in the Amazon basin. The proposals were discussed during the event "Illegal

30 de September de 2024 In Publications, Security, Nature By Andre Guttierrez

Operation Curupira: An Integrated Approach to Combat Deforestation in Southern Pará

Deforestation in the Amazon region, especially in the State of Pará, poses a significant environmental challenge. Until 2022, Pará led deforestation among the Amazon states, driven by a series of interconnected factors. The implementation of infrastructure (roads, hydroelectric dams), the expansion of agricultural and livestock