Igarapé Institute

Global Futures Bulletin: An Inflection Point in the AI Race

Artificial intelligence has reached a critical inflection point, raising fundamental questions about safety, alignment, regulation, and the very future of humanity. Propelled by technical advances toward “superintelligence” through tools such as transformer architectures, reinforcement learning, and model distillation, the current moment in AI may contain

Global Futures Bulletin: BRICS and the Climate Agenda: Brazil’s BRICS and COP30 Dual Presidency and What Comes Next

The climate agenda has been gaining strength within BRICS since 2019. Initially marked by occasional mentions in political declarations, it gained new momentum with Brazil’s BRICS presidency in 2025 — the same year the country is also hosting COP30. In this context, cooperation has evolved

The Amazon and nature-based economies

Transforming the ecosystem of environmental crimes into an ecosystem of green enterprises has been a mantra of Igarapé. It is essential to rapidly build a sustainable and inclusive economy in the Amazon. This will not only improve the socioeconomic conditions of a region that lacks development

Strengthening Anti-Money Laundering Systems Against Environmental Crime: Comparative Legal and Policy Frameworks in Amazonian Countries

Environmental and natural resource-related crimes represent the third-largest illicit economy in the world in terms of the volume of money involved, ranking behind only drug trafficking and human trafficking. These are offenses that affect nature and threaten the planet’s sustainability, such as illegal logging, illicit

Transforming the Economy in the Amazon

This publication presents an analysis of six community-led initiatives in the Amazon, organized around practical lessons that address the region’s challenges. Among the most pressing challenges are the advance of deforestation, the intensification of illicit activities, pressure on protected territories, biodiversity loss, barriers to accessing

The world needs a new UN protocol to fight environmental crime

In Brazil’s Yanomami Indigenous Territory and across other parts of the Amazon Basin, illegal gold mining has metastasized into a transnational criminal enterprise. What starts with illegal deforestation and mercury poisoning ends with laundered gold flowing into global supply chains. The trade finances organized crime, corrupt officials,

Flows of Guns and Money Are Dooming Haiti

Haiti is sliding into the abyss. Violence has intensified since the beginning of the year as gangs continued to overrun communities and paralyze basic services. The capital, Port-au-Prince, and several other cities are now largely controlled by powerful gang coalitions, most notably Viv Amsanm and Gran Grif. The country’s Transitional Presidential Council (TPC), formed with CARICOM over a year

Annual Report 2024

Throughout 2024, the Igarapé Institute continued to drive solutions for public, digital and climate security challenges. At a time of deepening geopolitical turbulence, the Institute reinforced its role as a key interlocutor in global debates on international security, safe and secure AI, and environmental crime.

Who Defends the Defenders?

Environmental and human rights defenders play a critical role in combating ecosystem degradation and mitigating climate change. They serve as central members of their communities, organizing others to fight injustices and abuses. Environmental defenders are the first line of defense in places where the biome

Global Futures Bulletin: The BRICS and the Decarbonization and Biodiversity Protection Challenges

The world faces an unprecedented convergence of environmental crises – climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss – that collectively threaten the planet’s ecological balance and humanity’s future. Reversing the Triple Planetary Crisis necessitates urgent and coordinated action across all sectors and countries, accelerating the transition

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